Arizona-Sonora Desert Museum
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Arizona-Sonora Desert Museum clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2025-07-06.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	3 2 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 6% 70%	124344
	Night	3 2 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 6% 69%	123437
Transparency	Day	15% 4 5% 11% 24% 42%	124112
	Night	15% 4 5% 11% 26% 39%	123257
Seeing	Day	5% 6% 20% 33% 26% 11%	15819
	Night	4 2 17% 44% 30% 4	25964

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SW (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	4 3 2 4 2 3 2 2 4 5% 68%	4098
	11th to 20th	Day	3 2 1 2 2 3 3 2 3 3 77%	4100
	21st to end	Day	6% 4 1 3 2 3 3 3 5% 8% 61%	4510
February	1st to 10th	Day	6% 4 1 3 2 2 3 2 4 7% 68%	1865
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 4 5% 63%	1950
	21st to end	Day	7% 3 2 4 2 2 2 3 3 5% 68%	1734
March	1st to 10th	Day	5% 3 1 3 2 2 3 2 3 5% 70%	4954
	11th to 20th	Day	3 3 1 3 3 3 3 3 4 6% 67%	5000
	21st to end	Day	3 3 1 4 3 3 3 2 4 6% 68%	5486
April	1st to 10th	Day	2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 4 6% 75%	2200
	11th to 20th	Day	2 2 1 2 2 1 1 2 3 4 81%	2311
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 3 4 82%	2445
May	1st to 10th	Day	1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 3 86%	5880
	11th to 20th	Day	2 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 3 4 81%	5841
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 3 84%	6423
June	1st to 10th	Day	2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 4 6% 77%	2600
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 3 86%	2600
	21st to end	Day	2 3 1 4 3 3 3 3 5% 5% 69%	2600
July	1st to 10th	Day	2 2 1 4 4 4 4 4 5% 6% 66%	4176
	11th to 20th	Day	2 2 1 4 3 4 5% 6% 8% 11% 53%	4110
	21st to end	Day	4 4 2 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 10% 13% 37%	4454
August	1st to 10th	Day	3 3 2 5% 4 4 6% 5% 8% 12% 48%	4092
	11th to 20th	Day	2 2 1 4 3 5% 5% 5% 9% 11% 54%	4028
	21st to end	Day	2 2 1 3 4 4 5% 4 7% 7% 60%	4074
September	1st to 10th	Day	5% 4 2 4 4 3 3 4 5% 6% 59%	2090
	11th to 20th	Day	2 2 1 2 2 2 3 3 4 6% 72%	2090
	21st to end	Day	3 2 1 2 2 3 3 2 4 5% 73%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Day	1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 4 81%	3372
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 87%	3150
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 4 83%	3438
November	1st to 10th	Day	2 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 4 6% 78%	1959
	11th to 20th	Day	2 2 1 3 2 2 3 3 4 5% 73%	1955
	21st to end	Day	4 4 1 4 3 3 3 3 4 7% 65%	1800
December	1st to 10th	Day	4 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 4 5% 76%	2950
	11th to 20th	Day	4 4 1 4 2 2 3 3 6% 7% 63%	3409
	21st to end	Day	5% 3 1 4 2 3 3 3 4 6% 68%	4510
January	1st to 10th	Night	4 3 1 3 2 2 3 3 6% 6% 68%	5867
	11th to 20th	Night	3 2 1 2 1 1 2 2 3 4 81%	5880
	21st to end	Night	8% 4 1 4 3 3 3 3 4 7% 59%	6468
February	1st to 10th	Night	6% 3 1 4 2 2 3 3 4 5% 67%	2531
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 3 1 4 3 3 3 3 4 6% 63%	2338
	21st to end	Night	6% 3 1 3 3 2 3 3 5% 6% 65%	1895
March	1st to 10th	Night	5% 3 1 3 2 2 3 3 4 5% 70%	4940
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 3 1 3 2 2 3 2 3 5% 69%	5000
	21st to end	Night	3 4 2 4 3 3 3 2 4 5% 68%	5489
April	1st to 10th	Night	2 2 1 2 2 3 3 2 4 6% 74%	2200
	11th to 20th	Night	2 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 4 3 79%	2036
	21st to end	Night	2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 4 85%	1950
May	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 4 85%	4100
	11th to 20th	Night	3 1 1 2 2 2 1 2 3 4 80%	4074
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 88%	4474
June	1st to 10th	Night	2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 6% 77%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 4 86%	1800
	21st to end	Night	2 3 1 3 3 3 3 3 4 6% 71%	1800
July	1st to 10th	Night	2 2 2 4 3 3 3 3 5% 7% 65%	2905
	11th to 20th	Night	2 1 1 5% 4 6% 8% 7% 10% 15% 42%	2860
	21st to end	Night	2 3 1 6% 5% 6% 8% 8% 13% 17% 29%	3109
August	1st to 10th	Night	3 4 2 6% 5% 6% 6% 6% 9% 10% 42%	2847
	11th to 20th	Night	2 2 1 4 4 5% 5% 5% 8% 12% 51%	2811
	21st to end	Night	2 3 1 3 3 3 5% 5% 9% 11% 55%	3592
September	1st to 10th	Night	4 3 2 4 3 4 4 3 5% 8% 58%	2090
	11th to 20th	Night	2 3 1 3 2 2 4 2 4 5% 72%	2090
	21st to end	Night	2 2 1 3 3 3 2 3 3 5% 73%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 5% 5% 74%	3604
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 5% 85%	3778
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 4 85%	4120
November	1st to 10th	Night	2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 4 5% 76%	2340
	11th to 20th	Night	2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 3 6% 76%	2440
	21st to end	Night	6% 3 1 4 3 3 4 3 5% 6% 64%	2600
December	1st to 10th	Night	3 2 1 2 1 1 2 2 3 4 78%	4240
	11th to 20th	Night	4 3 2 5% 3 3 3 2 4 5% 66%	4811
	21st to end	Night	5% 3 1 3 3 3 3 3 5% 6% 65%	6468

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	18% 4 3 9% 30% 37%	4099
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 3 4 7% 28% 45%	4100
	21st to end	Day	19% 5% 6% 11% 29% 29%	4510
February	1st to 10th	Day	19% 2 4 11% 23% 41%	1865
	11th to 20th	Day	24% 3 4 13% 26% 30%	1960
	21st to end	Day	20% 2 4 10% 27% 37%	1734
March	1st to 10th	Day	15% 3 3 8% 32% 38%	4954
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 6% 5% 14% 32% 29%	5000
	21st to end	Day	16% 4 3 8% 34% 34%	5486
April	1st to 10th	Day	11% 2 2 6% 32% 47%	2200
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 1 2 5% 23% 58%	2314
	21st to end	Day	8% 2 3 6% 23% 59%	2445
May	1st to 10th	Day	7% 2 2 4 20% 65%	5880
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 2 2 5% 20% 62%	5844
	21st to end	Day	8% 1 1 2 11% 76%	6424
June	1st to 10th	Day	9% 2 3 5% 20% 62%	2600
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 1 2 3 13% 75%	2600
	21st to end	Day	17% 4 6% 7% 15% 52%	2600
July	1st to 10th	Day	19% 5% 7% 7% 17% 46%	4112
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 8% 12% 25% 21% 13%	4041
	21st to end	Day	32% 9% 14% 29% 14% 3	4314
August	1st to 10th	Day	27% 7% 17% 21% 16% 12%	4078
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 7% 12% 21% 26% 13%	4067
	21st to end	Day	20% 6% 11% 16% 24% 22%	4073
September	1st to 10th	Day	24% 6% 8% 17% 17% 27%	2090
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 4 7% 11% 26% 41%	2090
	21st to end	Day	14% 3 5% 9% 27% 41%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Day	7% 3 4 7% 16% 63%	3372
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 1 2 5% 26% 60%	3150
	21st to end	Day	7% 1 2 5% 21% 63%	3438
November	1st to 10th	Day	9% 2 3 10% 36% 40%	1959
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 3 3 10% 28% 44%	1955
	21st to end	Day	19% 4 5% 11% 25% 35%	1800
December	1st to 10th	Day	12% 3 3 9% 34% 38%	2950
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 3 4 11% 23% 40%	3408
	21st to end	Day	17% 3 4 18% 34% 24%	4510
January	1st to 10th	Night	15% 4 4 9% 40% 28%	5867
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 2 3 11% 34% 40%	5880
	21st to end	Night	23% 6% 5% 13% 28% 25%	6468
February	1st to 10th	Night	19% 3 5% 12% 22% 39%	2531
	11th to 20th	Night	22% 2 6% 14% 27% 29%	2339
	21st to end	Night	18% 4 5% 10% 28% 35%	1895
March	1st to 10th	Night	15% 4 3 9% 34% 35%	4940
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 4 4 15% 34% 27%	5000
	21st to end	Night	15% 4 5% 10% 35% 31%	5489
April	1st to 10th	Night	13% 1 4 9% 31% 43%	2200
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 2 2 7% 22% 55%	2036
	21st to end	Night	7% 1 2 7% 25% 59%	1950
May	1st to 10th	Night	7% 1 2 6% 27% 58%	4097
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 2 3 6% 18% 62%	4075
	21st to end	Night	4 1 1 3 12% 79%	4474
June	1st to 10th	Night	10% 2 3 5% 20% 60%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 1 2 3 14% 75%	1800
	21st to end	Night	14% 4 6% 6% 16% 55%	1800
July	1st to 10th	Night	17% 4 8% 10% 15% 46%	2860
	11th to 20th	Night	25% 8% 15% 24% 17% 11%	2806
	21st to end	Night	32% 11% 19% 26% 11% 2	3011
August	1st to 10th	Night	32% 6% 17% 20% 14% 12%	2838
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 6% 13% 24% 20% 14%	2838
	21st to end	Night	20% 6% 13% 17% 20% 24%	3592
September	1st to 10th	Night	23% 6% 8% 20% 17% 25%	2090
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 5% 6% 11% 28% 37%	2090
	21st to end	Night	13% 3 6% 10% 27% 41%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Night	11% 3 4 8% 17% 57%	3604
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 2 2 8% 22% 60%	3778
	21st to end	Night	7% 2 2 6% 19% 64%	4120
November	1st to 10th	Night	11% 2 3 11% 31% 42%	2340
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 2 3 11% 30% 42%	2440
	21st to end	Night	22% 3 5% 11% 27% 33%	2600
December	1st to 10th	Night	12% 2 3 12% 36% 36%	4240
	11th to 20th	Night	21% 4 3 10% 24% 38%	4811
	21st to end	Night	18% 4 4 16% 32% 26%	6468

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	9% 5% 26% 36% 21% 2	300
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 2 22% 44% 16% 7%	300
	21st to end	Day	4 7% 23% 39% 23% 4	330
February	1st to 10th	Day	5% 7% 29% 35% 19% 5%	365
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 12% 31% 33% 13% 2	495
	21st to end	Day	11% 13% 32% 32% 10% 1	414
March	1st to 10th	Day	8% 13% 33% 33% 11% 2	500
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 13% 31% 29% 14% 7%	500
	21st to end	Day	6% 14% 33% 29% 15% 4	550
April	1st to 10th	Day	5% 10% 28% 29% 21% 7%	500
	11th to 20th	Day	3 14% 31% 31% 17% 4	492
	21st to end	Day	2 12% 29% 30% 20% 7%	500
May	1st to 10th	Day	3 10% 28% 32% 19% 8%	503
	11th to 20th	Day	3 6% 27% 37% 22% 6%	528
	21st to end	Day	2 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%	573
June	1st to 10th	Day	4 3 19% 40% 24% 10%	530
	11th to 20th	Day	1 3 20% 37% 29% 10%	530
	21st to end	Day	3 1 15% 38% 31% 12%	530
July	1st to 10th	Day	3 1 8% 32% 37% 19%	507
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 5% 26% 38% 25%	484
	21st to end	Day	6% 1 5% 22% 39% 27%	531
August	1st to 10th	Day	5% 3 27% 41% 23%	487
	11th to 20th	Day	4 1 5% 25% 41% 25%	477
	21st to end	Day	3 1 5% 23% 40% 29%	539
September	1st to 10th	Day	7% 2 11% 33% 32% 14%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	3 1 14% 36% 34% 13%	490
	21st to end	Day	4 4 17% 34% 28% 12%	490
October	1st to 10th	Day	2 5% 19% 34% 29% 12%	424
	11th to 20th	Day	3 1 16% 35% 33% 12%	300
	21st to end	Day	2 2 18% 34% 32% 13%	330
November	1st to 10th	Day	3 5% 20% 41% 24% 6%	300
	11th to 20th	Day	2 4 18% 40% 30% 6%	300
	21st to end	Day	5% 5% 28% 39% 19% 4	300
December	1st to 10th	Day	7% 2 22% 35% 30% 4	300
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 5% 23% 42% 21% 4	300
	21st to end	Day	11% 6% 23% 34% 21% 5%	330
January	1st to 10th	Night	6% 2 21% 47% 21% 3	800
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 3 20% 45% 24% 3	800
	21st to end	Night	8% 3 22% 46% 20% 2	880
February	1st to 10th	Night	6% 3 20% 44% 21% 5%	800
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 5% 23% 49% 16% 2	784
	21st to end	Night	7% 4 28% 45% 15% 1	660
March	1st to 10th	Night	5% 3 30% 45% 16% 1	800
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 4 23% 42% 22% 5%	800
	21st to end	Night	4 3 23% 45% 22% 2	880
April	1st to 10th	Night	2 4 21% 51% 21% 1	800
	11th to 20th	Night	3 4 28% 47% 17%	652
	21st to end	Night	2 3 24% 53% 17% 2	600
May	1st to 10th	Night	2 2 24% 52% 20% 1	600
	11th to 20th	Night	1 2 19% 54% 23% 2	591
	21st to end	Night	1 2 21% 52% 23%	650
June	1st to 10th	Night	3 1 12% 55% 30% 1	600
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 13% 56% 29% 1	600
	21st to end	Night	2 1 9% 44% 43% 2	600
July	1st to 10th	Night	4 1 6% 36% 51% 3	570
	11th to 20th	Night	3 1 3 25% 62% 6%	552
	21st to end	Night	5% 1 4 24% 55% 11%	624
August	1st to 10th	Night	3 3 22% 61% 11%	567
	11th to 20th	Night	4 1 4 26% 59% 6%	564
	21st to end	Night	3 5% 23% 61% 8%	694
September	1st to 10th	Night	5% 1 8% 32% 46% 8%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	2 1 8% 41% 42% 6%	760
	21st to end	Night	2 1 12% 44% 38% 4	760
October	1st to 10th	Night	2 1 13% 47% 33% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	2 1 14% 48% 31% 3	760
	21st to end	Night	2 2 13% 48% 29% 7%	836
November	1st to 10th	Night	2 2 15% 47% 29% 5%	780
	11th to 20th	Night	3 1 17% 44% 32% 3	800
	21st to end	Night	7% 2 21% 46% 21% 3	800
December	1st to 10th	Night	7% 3 17% 46% 25% 3	800
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 4 19% 49% 20% 2	800
	21st to end	Night	6% 4 20% 45% 20% 4	880

Page generated at 2025-07-02 22:30:18. Version ac07

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