Eldorado Star Party
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Eldorado Star Party clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2025-07-06.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	8% 5% 2 4 3 3 3 3 4 6% 57%	120020
	Night	8% 5% 2 4 3 3 3 3 5% 7% 60%	119051
Transparency	Day	27% 4 9% 20% 23% 16%	123950
	Night	24% 4 9% 21% 23% 17%	123237
Seeing	Day	9% 6% 24% 33% 22% 5%	15742
	Night	9% 6% 31% 39% 13% 1	25721

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SE (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	9% 5% 2 4 2 3 2 2 4 6% 60%	4077
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 4 2 3 2 2 2 2 3 6% 68%	4384
	21st to end	Day	15% 5% 2 4 3 3 2 2 4 5% 54%	4994
February	1st to 10th	Day	10% 5% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 3 6% 57%	2000
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 6% 2 5% 3 3 4 3 4 5% 56%	1949
	21st to end	Day	10% 4 2 3 3 3 4 3 5% 6% 57%	1650
March	1st to 10th	Day	7% 5% 1 5% 3 3 3 3 4 5% 60%	4500
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 6% 2 4 3 2 3 2 4 5% 56%	4936
	21st to end	Day	6% 5% 2 6% 3 3 3 3 5% 6% 56%	5462
April	1st to 10th	Day	7% 4 2 5% 4 3 3 3 5% 7% 59%	2358
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 5% 2 5% 4 3 4 3 4 6% 55%	2374
	21st to end	Day	9% 5% 2 4 3 3 2 3 4 6% 59%	2400
May	1st to 10th	Day	11% 5% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 5% 6% 52%	5741
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 5% 2 5% 4 3 4 3 5% 6% 55%	5862
	21st to end	Day	10% 5% 2 5% 4 4 4 4 5% 8% 49%	6434
June	1st to 10th	Day	4 3 1 3 3 3 4 4 6% 9% 60%	2600
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 4 1 4 3 3 3 4 5% 7% 60%	2600
	21st to end	Day	6% 5% 1 4 4 4 4 5% 6% 8% 54%	2600
July	1st to 10th	Day	6% 3 1 4 5% 5% 5% 4 6% 7% 55%	4186
	11th to 20th	Day	2 2 1 3 3 4 4 4 6% 9% 62%	4120
	21st to end	Day	6% 4 2 5% 4 4 4 3 5% 7% 56%	4262
August	1st to 10th	Day	1 1 1 2 2 3 4 3 4 6% 72%	3785
	11th to 20th	Day	4 2 1 3 3 3 3 3 5% 7% 67%	3726
	21st to end	Day	5% 3 1 5% 5% 4 5% 4 6% 11% 50%	4180
September	1st to 10th	Day	11% 5% 2 6% 5% 4 5% 4 5% 7% 46%	2171
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 5% 3 5% 5% 5% 4 4 5% 7% 46%	2090
	21st to end	Day	9% 3 1 5% 4 4 4 3 5% 7% 55%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Day	6% 3 1 5% 4 3 4 2 5% 7% 60%	2090
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 4 2 4 3 2 3 3 4 5% 60%	2090
	21st to end	Day	12% 4 1 4 2 2 2 2 3 4 63%	2127
November	1st to 10th	Day	11% 5% 2 5% 3 3 2 2 4 7% 56%	1763
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 5% 1 4 2 3 4 3 5% 5% 61%	1800
	21st to end	Day	10% 6% 3 5% 2 3 3 2 4 7% 55%	1800
December	1st to 10th	Day	18% 8% 3 6% 3 2 3 2 3 4 49%	2940
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 8% 2 5% 3 3 4 3 5% 4 51%	3391
	21st to end	Day	8% 7% 1 3 2 2 2 2 3 4 68%	4488
January	1st to 10th	Night	7% 5% 2 4 3 3 3 2 4 5% 62%	5888
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 4 1 3 1 1 2 2 3 5% 72%	5624
	21st to end	Night	16% 8% 2 4 2 2 3 3 4 5% 51%	5984
February	1st to 10th	Night	8% 6% 2 4 3 2 2 2 4 6% 59%	2400
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 6% 2 5% 3 3 3 2 4 5% 54%	2338
	21st to end	Night	7% 6% 2 3 3 3 3 3 6% 6% 58%	1980
March	1st to 10th	Night	5% 3 1 3 2 3 4 4 6% 7% 62%	5374
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 6% 2 4 2 3 3 2 3 5% 59%	5026
	21st to end	Night	6% 5% 2 4 3 3 3 3 5% 6% 60%	5467
April	1st to 10th	Night	6% 4 2 4 3 3 3 3 6% 7% 59%	2036
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 5% 1 4 3 3 4 3 4 6% 57%	1977
	21st to end	Night	9% 5% 2 3 3 2 2 3 4 4 63%	2000
May	1st to 10th	Night	12% 5% 2 6% 4 3 3 3 4 6% 52%	4172
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 3 1 4 3 3 4 4 5% 8% 59%	4053
	21st to end	Night	8% 5% 2 4 3 4 4 4 7% 9% 50%	4443
June	1st to 10th	Night	3 2 1 3 2 3 4 4 7% 10% 62%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	2 2 1 3 2 3 4 3 6% 10% 64%	1800
	21st to end	Night	5% 4 1 3 4 3 4 3 5% 9% 61%	1800
July	1st to 10th	Night	4 3 1 4 3 4 3 3 6% 8% 60%	2895
	11th to 20th	Night	2 1 1 2 2 2 3 2 5% 8% 73%	2850
	21st to end	Night	4 4 1 4 3 3 3 3 5% 8% 62%	3283
August	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 5% 7% 73%	3155
	11th to 20th	Night	3 2 1 2 2 3 3 4 6% 9% 66%	3113
	21st to end	Night	4 4 1 4 4 4 4 5% 7% 12% 53%	3487
September	1st to 10th	Night	7% 4 2 5% 3 3 4 3 5% 8% 56%	2009
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 4 1 6% 3 4 3 3 7% 8% 52%	2090
	21st to end	Night	7% 4 1 4 3 3 3 3 6% 8% 58%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Night	5% 4 1 3 3 3 3 2 4 7% 66%	2090
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 4 2 4 3 2 3 2 3 4 63%	2090
	21st to end	Night	8% 4 2 4 3 2 2 3 3 4 66%	2446
November	1st to 10th	Night	10% 5% 1 4 2 3 3 2 3 5% 62%	2535
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 5% 1 4 3 3 2 3 4 5% 64%	2600
	21st to end	Night	10% 6% 1 4 3 3 4 3 5% 5% 56%	2600
December	1st to 10th	Night	18% 8% 2 4 2 2 3 2 4 6% 47%	4250
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 7% 2 5% 3 3 3 2 4 5% 55%	4816
	21st to end	Night	8% 7% 2 4 2 2 2 2 4 5% 63%	6490

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	26% 2 4 22% 26% 20%	4078
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 3 6% 21% 29% 21%	4384
	21st to end	Day	33% 3 5% 14% 27% 17%	4994
February	1st to 10th	Day	30% 3 6% 15% 24% 23%	2000
	11th to 20th	Day	31% 4 5% 21% 21% 18%	1959
	21st to end	Day	28% 4 5% 13% 28% 22%	1650
March	1st to 10th	Day	27% 4 4 14% 20% 32%	4500
	11th to 20th	Day	31% 4 4 9% 19% 33%	4936
	21st to end	Day	28% 4 7% 15% 24% 22%	5464
April	1st to 10th	Day	26% 4 7% 19% 22% 22%	2358
	11th to 20th	Day	31% 4 8% 17% 21% 20%	2374
	21st to end	Day	28% 3 8% 21% 22% 17%	2400
May	1st to 10th	Day	33% 5% 8% 12% 22% 20%	5778
	11th to 20th	Day	30% 4 7% 14% 26% 18%	5866
	21st to end	Day	32% 6% 11% 24% 17% 11%	6447
June	1st to 10th	Day	20% 7% 12% 33% 23% 6%	2600
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 5% 11% 24% 27% 9%	2600
	21st to end	Day	26% 7% 14% 25% 21% 6%	2600
July	1st to 10th	Day	27% 7% 15% 35% 15% 1	4122
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 6% 15% 36% 22% 3	4051
	21st to end	Day	25% 6% 14% 27% 24% 4	4128
August	1st to 10th	Day	13% 4 11% 35% 33% 3	3772
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 5% 15% 42% 18% 2	3762
	21st to end	Day	27% 8% 17% 23% 22% 3	4179
September	1st to 10th	Day	37% 6% 11% 19% 18% 9%	2171
	11th to 20th	Day	36% 7% 12% 19% 20% 6%	2090
	21st to end	Day	28% 6% 12% 20% 21% 14%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Day	15% 3 7% 14% 24% 37%	3480
	11th to 20th	Day	28% 3 5% 16% 20% 28%	3458
	21st to end	Day	23% 2 3 20% 39% 13%	3479
November	1st to 10th	Day	29% 4 9% 21% 21% 16%	1763
	11th to 20th	Day	25% 4 10% 18% 21% 22%	1800
	21st to end	Day	31% 3 5% 19% 26% 16%	1800
December	1st to 10th	Day	41% 3 5% 16% 23% 12%	2940
	11th to 20th	Day	36% 4 6% 14% 25% 15%	3389
	21st to end	Day	24% 2 3 18% 29% 24%	4488
January	1st to 10th	Night	25% 4 6% 18% 30% 17%	5888
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 2 4 20% 29% 28%	5624
	21st to end	Night	36% 3 5% 14% 23% 18%	5984
February	1st to 10th	Night	27% 3 7% 14% 26% 23%	2400
	11th to 20th	Night	32% 4 6% 18% 21% 19%	2338
	21st to end	Night	26% 4 7% 13% 26% 24%	1980
March	1st to 10th	Night	20% 4 7% 18% 27% 25%	5374
	11th to 20th	Night	29% 4 5% 11% 17% 35%	5026
	21st to end	Night	25% 5% 8% 16% 22% 24%	5467
April	1st to 10th	Night	24% 5% 10% 20% 17% 23%	2036
	11th to 20th	Night	28% 5% 10% 19% 18% 20%	1977
	21st to end	Night	25% 5% 10% 23% 21% 16%	2000
May	1st to 10th	Night	32% 5% 9% 19% 17% 17%	4197
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 6% 11% 18% 25% 18%	4054
	21st to end	Night	28% 8% 14% 24% 16% 11%	4452
June	1st to 10th	Night	16% 7% 17% 34% 22% 4	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 7% 14% 32% 25% 8%	1800
	21st to end	Night	21% 6% 14% 30% 23% 7%	1800
July	1st to 10th	Night	20% 7% 19% 37% 15% 1	2850
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 5% 15% 41% 24% 5%	2796
	21st to end	Night	20% 5% 16% 32% 25% 2	3179
August	1st to 10th	Night	11% 4 11% 33% 37% 3	3144
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 6% 17% 44% 17% 2	3143
	21st to end	Night	23% 9% 20% 25% 20% 3	3487
September	1st to 10th	Night	26% 7% 12% 24% 20% 10%	2009
	11th to 20th	Night	28% 8% 16% 22% 21% 6%	2090
	21st to end	Night	23% 6% 13% 25% 17% 16%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Night	13% 3 8% 15% 23% 38%	3480
	11th to 20th	Night	25% 3 6% 14% 25% 27%	3460
	21st to end	Night	18% 2 4 26% 33% 16%	4020
November	1st to 10th	Night	27% 3 8% 19% 25% 18%	2535
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 3 7% 21% 23% 21%	2600
	21st to end	Night	29% 4 7% 17% 24% 18%	2600
December	1st to 10th	Night	40% 3 6% 19% 17% 15%	4250
	11th to 20th	Night	32% 3 7% 16% 24% 18%	4817
	21st to end	Night	25% 3 4 19% 28% 20%	6490

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	13% 8% 42% 28% 7% 3	300
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 9% 35% 28% 12% 2	300
	21st to end	Day	12% 11% 38% 27% 11%	330
February	1st to 10th	Day	18% 10% 32% 24% 13% 2	300
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 10% 46% 25% 5% 1	300
	21st to end	Day	12% 11% 47% 24% 6%	249
March	1st to 10th	Day	13% 12% 42% 27% 6%	300
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 16% 37% 22% 10% 1	300
	21st to end	Day	9% 16% 43% 25% 7%	330
April	1st to 10th	Day	8% 16% 42% 26% 7% 1	458
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 17% 39% 27% 6%	492
	21st to end	Day	8% 15% 43% 28% 6%	500
May	1st to 10th	Day	9% 9% 38% 36% 8%	646
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 8% 35% 32% 11% 2	725
	21st to end	Day	11% 5% 32% 40% 11% 1	789
June	1st to 10th	Day	4 3 19% 47% 24% 2	730
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 2 21% 48% 20% 3	730
	21st to end	Day	5% 2 11% 44% 32% 6%	730
July	1st to 10th	Day	7% 1 8% 37% 38% 9%	697
	11th to 20th	Day	2 1 4 40% 45% 8%	668
	21st to end	Day	2 4 34% 45% 15%	624
August	1st to 10th	Day	2 1 4 28% 49% 16%	487
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 3 29% 44% 16%	477
	21st to end	Day	5% 1 6% 28% 40% 21%	539
September	1st to 10th	Day	10% 1 5% 28% 40% 17%	381
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 2 5% 25% 44% 16%	300
	21st to end	Day	12% 1 6% 28% 37% 17%	300
October	1st to 10th	Day	3 1 16% 35% 35% 10%	300
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 4 20% 41% 22% 2	300
	21st to end	Day	14% 6% 30% 27% 20% 3	330
November	1st to 10th	Day	13% 10% 29% 32% 15% 2	300
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 9% 25% 29% 18% 5%	300
	21st to end	Day	15% 12% 36% 22% 11% 3	300
December	1st to 10th	Day	16% 8% 26% 32% 14% 3	300
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 10% 36% 26% 13% 2	300
	21st to end	Day	13% 9% 38% 28% 11%	330
January	1st to 10th	Night	11% 6% 38% 37% 7%	1000
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 8% 34% 37% 8%	880
	21st to end	Night	13% 9% 38% 32% 8%	880
February	1st to 10th	Night	12% 10% 40% 32% 7%	800
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 10% 41% 29% 4	784
	21st to end	Night	12% 12% 48% 27% 2	660
March	1st to 10th	Night	13% 12% 45% 26% 4	800
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 12% 42% 30% 4	620
	21st to end	Night	8% 11% 53% 26% 2	660
April	1st to 10th	Night	6% 12% 51% 29% 3	600
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 10% 52% 24% 3	593
	21st to end	Night	7% 12% 52% 25% 4	600
May	1st to 10th	Night	6% 9% 52% 29% 4	600
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 7% 43% 34% 7%	591
	21st to end	Night	9% 4 44% 34% 9% 1	650
June	1st to 10th	Night	3 3 27% 59% 9% 1	600
	11th to 20th	Night	2 1 37% 52% 7%	600
	21st to end	Night	4 2 18% 55% 19% 1	600
July	1st to 10th	Night	6% 1 9% 55% 27% 2	570
	11th to 20th	Night	3 7% 62% 27% 1	552
	21st to end	Night	1 1 5% 62% 30% 1	624
August	1st to 10th	Night	1 5% 53% 38% 2	567
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 1 6% 50% 35% 3	564
	21st to end	Night	4 1 6% 46% 39% 4	627
September	1st to 10th	Night	6% 1 8% 47% 35% 4	570
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 1 8% 49% 32% 2	570
	21st to end	Night	7% 2 13% 49% 27% 2	570
October	1st to 10th	Night	4 2 20% 51% 22% 1	570
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 4 25% 45% 13% 1	570
	21st to end	Night	9% 6% 29% 38% 17% 1	774
November	1st to 10th	Night	12% 4 28% 40% 15% 1	975
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 5% 34% 39% 14% 1	1000
	21st to end	Night	13% 7% 33% 34% 12% 1	1000
December	1st to 10th	Night	13% 6% 29% 42% 10% 1	1000
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 8% 35% 37% 7%	1000
	21st to end	Night	11% 6% 39% 35% 9% 1	1100

Page generated at 2025-07-03 00:30:17. Version ac07

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